Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb4948a762758752e4008d60090356a68f4d86f930d26b27b8cdd0522caf4c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 22,771$7,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,711.88 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 4c | 22,699$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,879.35 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d05dbacked No | 0c | 11,205$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 71c | 10,591$7,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.86 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 60c | 9,934$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…f01cbacked Yes | 60c | 8,337$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 5,080$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,876.83 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 4c | 4,786$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +429.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed No | 42c | 3,534$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 33c | 3,500$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.44 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.95 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 37c | 2,659$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 72c | 2,448$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…ba61backed Yes | 4c | 2,340$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,464.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Yes | 62c | 2,061$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 3c | 1,942$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +771.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 4c | 1,861$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.88 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,830$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.89 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 5c | 1,797$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.6 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,698$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.33 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Yes | 3c | 1,663$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.54 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,636$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.24 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 26c | 1,588$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.92 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 1,530$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.43 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 37c | 1,525$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,224$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed No | 25c | 1,130$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 59c | 1,085$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 13c | 999.98$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 58c | 913.72$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.33 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 4c | 901.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.02 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Yes | 77c | 901.05$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 75cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 4c | 841.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.55 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.01 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 63c | 800$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.59 | 59 | 74.6%44 W · 15 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 28c | 749.99$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 71c | 700.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 4c | 599.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 4c | 571.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…26c6backed Yes | 68c | 570$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 29c | 560.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 76c | 537.59$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 59c | 514.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.36 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 511.09$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ca…172dbacked Yes | 64c | 472.29$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…d05ebacked Yes | 7c | 469.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 68c | 417.1$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.4 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 4c | 380$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 57c | 352.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 6c | 330.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.22 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 73c | 327.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed No | 32c | 310.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 50c | 300.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…210abacked Yes | 4c | 298.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +729.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 67c | 298.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.61 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 4c | 296.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed Yes | 4c | 270.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +473.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…95fbbacked No | 45c | 222.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 73c | 219.48$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 5c | 200.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +401.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +444.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Yes | 8c | 187.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked No | 47c | 183.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 20c | 177.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…20a5backed Yes | 57c | 176.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa368…d391backed Yes | 64c | 170.94$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…1745backed Yes | 63c | 159.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 63c | 158.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 24c | 156.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.83 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed No | 38c | 146.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 63c | 124$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da6…d7a2backed Yes | 11c | 122.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +777.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked No | 33c | 117.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed No | 43c | 116.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes | 57c | 105.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Yes | 62c | 102.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4a…b0b4backed Yes | 57c | 102.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 28c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…762dbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked No | 35c | 91.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked No | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 39c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 16c | 74.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…4395backed Yes | 57c | 72.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 42c | 70.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 59c | 65.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed No | 43c | 63.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will FC Bayern München vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.