TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$755,656
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$760,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $755,656 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over43c696,103$295,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400,201.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under57c352,563$200,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,960.67540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c79,187$45,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,532.9562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under58c42,500$24,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,77513348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c37,254$20,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,362.271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under59c31,200$18,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,256616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c22,780$13,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2041,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Under58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c10,388$5,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,838.371,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over41c10,349$4,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,106.163756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8006454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over42c7,431$3,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,309.963256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under59c3,978$2,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.0215455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under58c3,449$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under58c3,400$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under59c3,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7701717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7406060%36 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under57c2,330$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under59c1,088$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.923551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58023151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over41c977.76$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.762744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+41.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Under41c968.93$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under59c800$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under63c698$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.743663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under59c696.21$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.868942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Under60c624$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under59c610.17$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under57c553$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.219553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over55c538.18$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2856553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.617756.5%100 W · 77 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.613655.9%76 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23223260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under58c320$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under59c269.49$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1596248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over58c202.35$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.651776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under59c178$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.135044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c176.3$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Under58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+67%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd6…02f3backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over60c136.8$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.095129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Over39c120.74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.652334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under59c116.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6814247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under59c112$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0826046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Under59c108.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.662857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3416242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under60c99.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.526550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e9…aeefbacked Under58c98.64$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.21944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under60c93.83$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.192231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c82.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.019262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45052%26 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c77.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over45c72.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Under32c62.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.85356.6%30 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.89655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Over56c49.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.456233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…12a9backed Under59c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Over70c33.91$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d0…60a1backed Under59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under57c33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.923557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under58c30.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b08…8f40backed Over45c29.2$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+32.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfe1…1a78backed Under60c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.852548%12 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Under59c22.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.462050%10 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Under57c22.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Under57c22.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8212…2b8bbacked Under61c21.48$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Under61c17.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5779…168dbacked Under59c17.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1750%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.