Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77e071d8f35caa265dca9beef1344d976781fdb75b0c3ea769655745022f7e51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique de Marseilleof Olympique de Marseille, Racing Club de Lens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Racing Club de Lens | 43c | 56,348$24,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,267.68 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olympique de Marseille | 62c | 47,035$29,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,776.65 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Racing Club de Lens | 68c | 4,842$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.81 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 1,997$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.75 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.8 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Racing Club de Lens | 28c | 854.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Olympique de Marseille | 26c | 599.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 420$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Racing Club de Lens | 61c | 412.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Racing Club de Lens | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Racing Club de Lens | 64c | 224.75$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Racing Club de Lens | 33c | 207.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olympique de Marseille | 26c | 200.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…b524backed Olympique de Marseille | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Olympique de Marseille | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Racing Club de Lens | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Olympique de Marseille | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 131.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 130.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 51c | 126.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 122.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Racing Club de Lens | 31c | 84.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique de Marseille | 26c | 77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 70$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Racing Club de Lens | 29c | 66.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Olympique de Marseille | 69c | 65.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa695…c8a4backed Racing Club de Lens | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Racing Club de Lens | 42c | 46.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bf…231fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 41.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb4…3d4bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 23.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Racing Club de Lens | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Racing Club de Lens | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Racing Club de Lens | 74c | 15.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Racing Club de Lens | 73c | 15.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Olympique de Marseille | 68c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.