Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd824e99f65ef819000ac7a1e16ca9045dfb79c27758bbc752a739bcf7e1ddb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,569
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,569 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 10,928$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.64 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 2c | 8,291$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.83 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da5…82e7backed Under | 39c | 5,050$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Under | 38c | 2,449$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.53 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -14.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 63c | 1,482$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.33 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 69c | 1,310$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 37c | 1,020$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.26 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 37c | 599.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.62 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 545.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.34 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 37c | 508.58$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.09 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 63c | 462$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 37c | 420$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 37c | 419.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 320.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 63c | 217.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 177.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 23c | 164.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 38c | 155.84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 115.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Over | 65c | 58.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Under | 38c | 51.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…644bbacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 61c | 43.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 62c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed Over | 75c | 25.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 66cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Over | 63c | 22.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 63c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 62c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb815…342fbacked Over | 63c | 18.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 62c | 17.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 80c | 12.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.