TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61fa…7f62backed Zero Tenacity58c8,611$5,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.7846451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity48c4,409$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.4315457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro36c2,429$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.2836851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Virtus.pro52c1,779$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.65060%30 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick58cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro50c1,370$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.341,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro48c1,277$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.591,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Zero Tenacity30c1,118$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.146535.1%163 W · 302 L+22.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Zero Tenacity50c1,020$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5625444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Virtus.pro49c1,017$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.977746.8%36 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro2c922$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro41c898.51$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity52c800$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38814661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Virtus.pro56c773.34$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.073666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virtus.pro47c759.57$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8914121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro46c722.9$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.372,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Zero Tenacity31c607.36$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.157231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4c7…a27ebacked Virtus.pro46c548.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Virtus.pro70c505$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.4925348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Virtus.pro41c490$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro46c460.23$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7127548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Virtus.pro72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002576%19 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x730e…fca0backed Virtus.pro49c415$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.820535.1%72 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity63c374.77$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.8961548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Virtus.pro71c353.34$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25047660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Virtus.pro61c326.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.717152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7927…a49ebacked Zero Tenacity31c316.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Virtus.pro51c304.2$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.92966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Virtus.pro43c269.57$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7616835.7%60 W · 108 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro55c257.71$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.742,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Virtus.pro61c244$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.369145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Zero Tenacity28c224.34$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5249133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Virtus.pro47c223.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6248352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro47c214.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023546.8%110 W · 125 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Virtus.pro69c202.9$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Virtus.pro56c200.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.24626.1%12 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-57.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Virtus.pro67c199.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.9973743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Virtus.pro70c199.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9967853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Zero Tenacity56c198.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.171675%12 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity80c196.36$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5521062.4%131 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Virtus.pro44c189$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6530138.9%117 W · 184 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Virtus.pro54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Virtus.pro55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-75.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Zero Tenacity58c173.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6318053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe174…f74bbacked Zero Tenacity30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051060%6 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+106.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Zero Tenacity31c150$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Virtus.pro40c149.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609651%49 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Virtus.pro42c142.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018444.6%82 W · 102 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Virtus.pro46c120.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.233743.6%147 W · 190 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Virtus.pro43c120.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6513827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5553757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro70c99.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked Zero Tenacity58c95$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9510156.4%57 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Virtus.pro51c83.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.561442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed Zero Tenacity30c81.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.211050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Virtus.pro71c79.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8529245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a1…4e4dbacked Zero Tenacity51c77.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf4…181ebacked Virtus.pro72c69.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010770.1%75 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Virtus.pro34c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.491625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro42c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.695841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Zero Tenacity53c58.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3714940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b05…078abacked Virtus.pro43c57.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Virtus.pro39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.253158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Virtus.pro41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.51435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.522845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Virtus.pro49c49.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d9…e0cebacked Zero Tenacity37c49.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.346150.8%31 W · 30 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity34c46.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0820827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Virtus.pro66c46.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0823347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed Zero Tenacity42c40.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8318248.4%88 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d4…b96cbacked Virtus.pro42c40.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.877048.6%34 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Zero Tenacity31c38.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8611836.4%43 W · 75 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Virtus.pro55c38.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0225255.2%139 W · 113 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Virtus.pro39c32.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7914142.6%60 W · 81 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Virtus.pro47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Virtus.pro57c24.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9160…de3dbacked Virtus.pro51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211534.8%40 W · 75 L-14.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb3b…09b8backed Virtus.pro62c22.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.840%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9ed…86ddbacked Virtus.pro72c20.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8587…2c14backed Zero Tenacity77c18.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.