Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce6d6184abc0d6696a9bdfe7c6989860ae78e67606c900c886d70c71daf1463d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 4,044$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.35 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 1,438$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.41 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 33c | 1,173$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.9 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 540.25$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.68 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 540$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 473.38$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.96 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Virtus.pro | 66c | 376.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 321.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Zero Tenacity | 61c | 300.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.22 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 299.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity | 77c | 230.58$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 219.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 214.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Virtus.pro | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 164.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 162.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Virtus.pro | 61c | 57.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 38c | 53.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Zero Tenacity | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group CZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.