Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52956e610cbb0ba125661039cbfe2035f022827dd8633522e7f7876d6cc3dff5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $426,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $426,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 44c | 295,962$131,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,175.43 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 62,201$34,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,990.27 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 59,276$33,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,889.7 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 56c | 42,294$23,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,609.54 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 33,997$19,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,871.62 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 18,238$10,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,364.45 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 56c | 7,777$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,421.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 56c | 6,932$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.59 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 57c | 4,992$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.28 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 57c | 2,208$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.24 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 20c | 1,750$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.28 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,233$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.49 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 56c | 985.69$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.24 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 57c | 918.24$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.12 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Over | 45c | 866.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 57c | 840$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 57c | 840$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 44c | 800$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 57c | 800$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 56c | 699.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.96 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 57c | 640$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 563$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.72 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 57c | 560$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…88d0backed Under | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 56c | 430.76$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 44c | 382.14$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +10.9wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 57c | 350$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 57c | 330$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 57c | 320$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7411…a2adbacked Under | 56c | 310.71$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 57c | 300.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 56c | 283.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.19 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 57c | 240$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 57c | 212.35$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Under | 56c | 209$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 65c | 173.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e9…aeefbacked Under | 57c | 167.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6586…aa73backed Under | 56c | 160.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Under | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…aecabacked Over | 45c | 158.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Under | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 56c | 134$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 44c | 133.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 124.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5this page
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5Over won
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.