CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ec34d27a0dc6a18d70daf26723c9d3da50ca3135671f74c9f6b7d7334b29272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MINLATEof 1WIN, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed 1WIN | 75c | 8,334$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.4 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed 1WIN | 80c | 5,356$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.77 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MINLATE | 22c | 4,250$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MINLATE | 24c | 3,641$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.47 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MINLATE | 20c | 2,520$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed MINLATE | 25c | 2,044$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.3 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 1WIN | 69c | 2,040$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.43 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1WIN | 43c | 1,473$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.59 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MINLATE | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.66 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed 1WIN | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MINLATE | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MINLATE | 25c | 612$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 178 | 47.2%84 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed MINLATE | 50c | 575.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.67 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed 1WIN | 70c | 528.37$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.86 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MINLATE | 20c | 511.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.43 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed MINLATE | 25c | 456.3$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked 1WIN | 3c | 447.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked MINLATE | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MINLATE | 50c | 343.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked MINLATE | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked MINLATE | 25c | 328$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed MINLATE | 25c | 320$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed 1WIN | 17c | 319.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 1WIN | 70c | 287.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MINLATE | 25c | 280$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked MINLATE | 57c | 248$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked MINLATE | 25c | 245.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed 1WIN | 54c | 237.83$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 48c | 226.04$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed MINLATE | 20c | 210$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed MINLATE | 25c | 193.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 1WIN | 21c | 185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MINLATE | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MINLATE | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked MINLATE | 20c | 141.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked 1WIN | 71c | 140.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked 1WIN | 47c | 138.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed 1WIN | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked MINLATE | 79c | 125.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked 1WIN | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed MINLATE | 67c | 111.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed MINLATE | 25c | 108.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed 1WIN | 26c | 104.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked MINLATE | 48c | 89.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked MINLATE | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1WIN | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked MINLATE | 35c | 67.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…e1b7backed MINLATE | 50c | 65.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c4…3195backed MINLATE | 45c | 62.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MINLATE | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed MINLATE | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 36 | 86.1%31 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…f7f9backed MINLATE | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MINLATE | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MINLATE | 45c | 55.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked 1WIN | 27c | 50.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked 1WIN | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MINLATE | 25c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked MINLATE | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…d823backed MINLATE | 41c | 42.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MINLATE | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked 1WIN | 53c | 41.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 1WIN | 60c | 41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed MINLATE | 53c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed 1WIN | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x316a…7c78backed 1WIN | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed MINLATE | 47c | 21.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…adb9backed MINLATE | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs MINLATE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs MINLATE - Map 1 WinnerMINLATE won
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs MINLATE - Map 2 Winner1WIN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.