Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cfd6390ca213c00399081fc0c0f36b7bb0840a1a42a6245d3722cdb450a619a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 18,828$10,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,183.8 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 44c | 9,977$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 9,305$6,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.09 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 5,200$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 55c | 4,588$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 43c | 4,263$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Over | 44c | 4,159$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e92…c03fbacked Over | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 34c | 1,750$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 1,272$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.4 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 56c | 901$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.44 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 12c | 830$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 824.02$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.69 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 42c | 469.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 57c | 380$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.47 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 175.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…980bbacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 45c | 162.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 39c | 156.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 142$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 44c | 112.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 108.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +67%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 57c | 96.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 56c | 87.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 29c | 71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 44c | 67.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 44c | 54.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 47.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf6…cecbbacked Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Under | 56c | 39.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 56c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Over | 45c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 56c | 23.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.