Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9c2b5bdc4b786893090d460d76aa9565d3c0c5adb6fa439f933cb705c5f1f5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,922$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.16 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 7,830$4,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.95 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 30c | 3,901$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.73 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 23c | 1,250$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 32c | 941$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 32c | 913$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.56 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 21c | 890.65$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.14 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 35c | 566.46$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 70c | 420$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 73c | 400$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 25c | 399$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 30c | 351.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 30c | 203.3$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c0…c158backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 12c | 128.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 30c | 105.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 102.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 69.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 64c | 62.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over | 33c | 60.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 61c | 39.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 35c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Under | 57c | 26.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Over | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5this page
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5Under won
- Paris FC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Paris FC (-1.5)Angers SCO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.