CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs ALLINNERS (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d7a654153950606ec108beadaaeca9ac550b1f8a1d9cf51cae6487692c1e209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, ALLINNERS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Favbet | 69c | 5,235$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.82 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ALLINNERS | 32c | 3,500$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ALLINNERS | 0c | 2,552$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Favbet | 65c | 2,337$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.45 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ALLINNERS | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Favbet | 71c | 915.4$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.8 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 827.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Favbet | 64c | 720.98$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.55 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALLINNERS | 37c | 573.32$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked ALLINNERS | 33c | 550$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ALLINNERS | 31c | 419$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.89 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ALLINNERS | 36c | 366.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 296.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked ALLINNERS | 35c | 287$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked ALLINNERS | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…fba6backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 186.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 65c | 142.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…e9cebacked ALLINNERS | 31c | 106.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 98.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed ALLINNERS | 31c | 95.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Favbet | 60c | 59.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ALLINNERS | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ALLINNERS | 34c | 44.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Favbet | 76c | 37.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ALLINNERS | 53c | 37.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked ALLINNERS | 33c | 33.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed ALLINNERS | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Favbet | 67c | 24.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.