Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05512f8ef87b51bc9627204158ea6efe4ed329cfd7e5d4a439adbdc84f18e434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 56c | 3,723$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.15 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 71c | 2,212$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.98 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…0225backed Yes | 6c | 2,131$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,978$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.82 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 41c | 1,250$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…b5f8backed Yes | 45c | 1,053$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.28 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…e804backed Yes | 43c | 813.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd200…ec52backed No | 59c | 813.56$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 51c | 592.96$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.43 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…e426backed No | 58c | 510$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 58c | 500$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 61c | 406.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 38c | 212.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed No | 62c | 173$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Yes | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 148.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 62c | 145.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…c8e5backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…b6b0backed Yes | 40c | 105.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…93d5backed Yes | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…2bd6backed Yes | 45c | 102$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed No | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…bb64backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…f323backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 59c | 90.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed Yes | 77c | 88.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…f6a6backed Yes | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6314backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…cac7backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6d…f1c8backed No | 59c | 44.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccdf…6cb1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked No | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…8625backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…f634backed Yes | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be2…3821backed Yes | 42c | 34.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c9…b4e0backed Yes | 42c | 29.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed No | 59c | 28.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…9cd7backed No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…1d4dbacked No | 57c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…1962backed Yes | 45c | 24.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-10-19?Yes won
- Will Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.