Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55c3138d7fbd13cc007b9bef351f114e02c33fae7d4b5ee0831fc3bf0ae5e5df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 10c | 6,532$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,890.49 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 69c | 2,049$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 70c | 1,264$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.47 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Yes | 27c | 1,247$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…5dc0backed No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Yes | 31c | 741.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.5 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…e1d3backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.33 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 29c | 158.79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08bc…2bd6backed Yes | 29c | 102$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…0bc0backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…d683backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829d…c8e5backed Yes | 29c | 93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…d146backed Yes | 30c | 89.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…4ff7backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea4…e097backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…d9f2backed Yes | 33c | 54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…f6a6backed Yes | 30c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…a7cfbacked Yes | 33c | 50.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f0…cac7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbb…4420backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-10-19?this page
- Will Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw?No won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.