Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2a6e5475912c069699b50971b89a175847b24376f1b9860346bd65baaf17e4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 6,676$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.05 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 59c | 6,494$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.7 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 41c | 6,492$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.42 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 45c | 2,435$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.32 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 69c | 1,893$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…69fbbacked Yes | 41c | 1,535$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 61c | 1,219$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.01 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed No | 62c | 1,094$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d3…a45cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,005$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Yes | 77c | 1,005$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.24 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…03abbacked No | 60c | 1,004$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed No | 60c | 963.33$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…ff77backed Yes | 43c | 963.27$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed Yes | 69c | 910$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 44c | 715.71$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.14 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…eb44backed No | 62c | 657.13$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 39c | 629.84$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.98 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 58c | 607.16$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.15 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Yes | 38c | 470.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…c635backed No | 60c | 470$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…7f05backed Yes | 44c | 419.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Yes | 44c | 411.36$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 37c | 299.42$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.84 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…4515backed Yes | 40c | 278.39$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 43c | 234$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed No | 68c | 229.33$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 60c | 191.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed No | 60c | 173.71$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2557…d991backed Yes | 70c | 167.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…a3e2backed No | 64c | 162.48$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Yes | 42c | 157.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…5b74backed Yes | 80c | 148.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +161.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 57c | 138.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…5f46backed No | 63c | 123.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 41c | 118.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 44c | 109.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed No | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…8e9fbacked No | 60c | 99.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedca…0757backed Yes | 44c | 92.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…3c70backed Yes | 40c | 90.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 40c | 65.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d6…dee7backed Yes | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…5376backed Yes | 37c | 62.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…585fbacked Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Yes | 41c | 33.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…a69bbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0187…9415backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed No | 62c | 27.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…17e5backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2676…acaabacked Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd699…b652backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…ec7fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…67d0backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…93c6backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…fdd7backed No | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f2…9f7ebacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…f7fabacked No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…c238backed No | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…d34abacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…6d0abacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…045dbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…9639backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cc…b11cbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…25dfbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431f…4eebbacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…ba2fbacked No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c9…d486backed No | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…1cadbacked Yes | 72c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Leicester win on 2024-10-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.