Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2024-10-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1e564e7dc34f49d738ff97c871c0b7a5d8cf31e9d6b4c11cc437f3ebfa74772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x042e…e29cbacked No | 72c | 2,869$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,955$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 31c | 1,450$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 69c | 999.95$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 33c | 899.37$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.82 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 32c | 851.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.2 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 68c | 799.99$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 68c | 687.25$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.87 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 619.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 67c | 595.91$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.65 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 67c | 521.15$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Yes | 34c | 514.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 68c | 321.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.01 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 66c | 293.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 35c | 210$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Yes | 29c | 176.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Yes | 31c | 175.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 31c | 163.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 32c | 155.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3569…9a32backed Yes | 31c | 143.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…2bf2backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 30c | 141.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked No | 69c | 134.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3813…a558backed Yes | 33c | 130.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ac…e4a5backed No | 70c | 128.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…bba9backed Yes | 33c | 120.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 35c | 115.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d0…8a75backed Yes | 32c | 94.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Yes | 33c | 94.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9557…581dbacked No | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…b376backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 32c | 81.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…33c0backed Yes | 31c | 70.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…ff3abacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…833abacked Yes | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…9828backed No | 70c | 59.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…b289backed Yes | 32c | 48.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd4…1cadbacked Yes | 34c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dec…75a6backed Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…5b53backed Yes | 33c | 33.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…14b1backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…c71fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe0…7de0backed No | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…b57cbacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…8aa5backed No | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…26e3backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…4741backed No | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…ef77backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0439…8739backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…67dfbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…21f7backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…78ecbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2024-10-25?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.