Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f8151b6ec8b82d97220cd31afb0a90b6ff6459a985842ee26da7beb5d9a3df7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 69c | 2,382$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.05 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…2734backed Yes | 37c | 900$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…e29cbacked No | 71c | 890$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be6…64f9backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb851…9849backed Yes | 31c | 455.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…7f05backed Yes | 38c | 342.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 63c | 322.11$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…f213backed No | 70c | 250.69$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…2adabacked No | 73c | 226.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6697…69ecbacked No | 74c | 222.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 70c | 216.67$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Yes | 28c | 194.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 32c | 177.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 36cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 70c | 176.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 27c | 175$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x208d…362dbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed No | 70c | 141.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Yes | 39c | 127.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Yes | 37c | 109.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed No | 60c | 103.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…5921backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…6c55backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…00aabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 98.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 30c | 90.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16a2…f408backed No | 79c | 81.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +331%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed No | 74c | 67.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…ebe9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…0fc7backed Yes | 31c | 43.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…d616backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed No | 63c | 27.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…63cebacked No | 73c | 23.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c44backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…c1cabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71df…8528backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…764dbacked No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf330…8e32backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…8861backed No | 72c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…7ea6backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…5a65backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…cd83backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…8819backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc4…d588backed No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5a…6f6ebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2024-10-25?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-10-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.