CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6782dddabc2c8926820184a2f0732516b7c34e5932f4f0cba2f7d9a978e270c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof ECSTATIC, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x309d…4287backed ECSTATIC | 0c | 133,790$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.79 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed ECSTATIC | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,699.99 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e29…cd86backed illwill | 43c | 7,468$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,285.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 5,593$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.4 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed illwill | 33c | 5,019$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,362.8 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked illwill | 41c | 4,561$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.43 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked illwill | 45c | 4,492$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.88 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ECSTATIC | 48c | 3,760$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.96 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked illwill | 33c | 2,352$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.51 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 1,863$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.24 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed illwill | 34c | 1,640$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed ECSTATIC | 66c | 1,637$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked illwill | 54c | 1,586$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.78 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…edd4backed ECSTATIC | 57c | 1,579$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed illwill | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 1,261$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked ECSTATIC | 70c | 1,128$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed illwill | 32c | 1,051$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.83 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed ECSTATIC | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5498…126fbacked illwill | 62c | 849.55$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 834.27$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.24 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed illwill | 43c | 813.13$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.82 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 737.48$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 727.04$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 620.18$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.62 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked ECSTATIC | 60c | 587.28$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed illwill | 50c | 574.09$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.74 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…9a77backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 547.85$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked ECSTATIC | 41c | 543.22$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed illwill | 34c | 535$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.49 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 512.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 509.8$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed illwill | 30c | 497.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.85 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 479.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.38 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked illwill | 36c | 406.32$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.21 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed illwill | 36c | 376.75$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked illwill | 34c | 373.91$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.78 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…7dcabacked ECSTATIC | 14c | 359.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed illwill | 36c | 351.35$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked illwill | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked ECSTATIC | 41c | 342.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked illwill | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed illwill | 42c | 269.23$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked ECSTATIC | 69c | 251.93$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…9c31backed ECSTATIC | 77c | 243.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked ECSTATIC | 50c | 229.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c1…275ebacked illwill | 46c | 219.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed illwill | 44c | 211.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed illwill | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed illwill | 36c | 199.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 196.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked illwill | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked illwill | 63c | 137.19$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 136.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed ECSTATIC | 78c | 128.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed ECSTATIC | 32c | 116.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed ECSTATIC | 25c | 107.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 106.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked illwill | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked illwill | 63c | 99.78$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed illwill | 59c | 97.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed ECSTATIC | 55c | 85.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked illwill | 50c | 83.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed illwill | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked ECSTATIC | 64c | 78.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed illwill | 27c | 77.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed illwill | 40c | 77.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 75.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked illwill | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…b931backed ECSTATIC | 64c | 69.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed illwill | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed ECSTATIC | 70c | 61.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…cdb9backed ECSTATIC | 61c | 60.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked illwill | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked ECSTATIC | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…7a15backed ECSTATIC | 39c | 51.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…1702backed ECSTATIC | 59c | 48.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ECSTATIC | 74c | 48.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed illwill | 50c | 46.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed illwill | 33c | 41.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ca…eb95backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 39.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed illwill | 56c | 38.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4510…95f9backed illwill | 44c | 38.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed illwill | 47c | 36.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…b883backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 34.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…e5b9backed ECSTATIC | 60c | 31.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed ECSTATIC | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked ECSTATIC | 59c | 28.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…6fd0backed ECSTATIC | 73c | 26.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…e62fbacked illwill | 68c | 26.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0badbacked ECSTATIC | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…ee2cbacked ECSTATIC | 51c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed ECSTATIC | 58c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf111…3b8ebacked illwill | 52c | 20.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d9…ef5bbacked ECSTATIC | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill - Map 1 Winnerillwill won
- Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerECSTATIC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.