Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x785918cdb053e8a9682c06ccd5b7571cb8078f73c1768f5adee33040ce568ef3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 48c | 193,999$93,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,448.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 56,472$28,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,483.24 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 38,166$19,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,733 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 20,493$10,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800.79 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Over | 51c | 8,500$4,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 51c | 7,777$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 7,637$3,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.68 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 51c | 7,635$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.15 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 5,999$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.51 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 51c | 4,371$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.17 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 64c | 3,900$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked Under | 49c | 3,851$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 2,941$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.73 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 53c | 2,652$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.84 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 2,146$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.83 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…d15ebacked Under | 50c | 1,408$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,060$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.41 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…40adbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 827.14$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.57 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 800$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 49c | 783$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.67 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 51c | 730$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 51c | 690.92$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 681.19$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.78 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ad…011fbacked Under | 51c | 660.78$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 53c | 640$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.8 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 32c | 615.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.22 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 54c | 600$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 588$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…0a6abacked Over | 49c | 510.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 506.01$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 52c | 461.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.72 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 51c | 394.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…c5dbbacked Over | 50c | 360$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 53c | 340$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 54c | 330$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 52c | 301.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 56c | 291.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.26 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Under | 8c | 275$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 41c | 244.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.02 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 51c | 240$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Over | 52c | 219.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 51c | 197.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 53c | 197.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 54c | 160$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 53c | 140$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 52c | 129$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.