TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$410,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$512,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x671f…328cbacked Disguised39c195,566$77,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,499.566040%24 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels60c65,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed Sentinels64c27,413$17,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,496.473138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Disguised37c18,888$6,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,899.441,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Sentinels57c16,897$9,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,588.867345.2%33 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Sentinels60c16,022$9,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,670.561,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sentinels63c10,596$6,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,657.367852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29df…8ebcbacked Sentinels61c9,560$5,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,813.9710133.7%34 W · 67 L-11.8wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd928…7adebacked Sentinels60c7,918$4,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels64c7,108$4,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,558.7225446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Sentinels55c6,544$3,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.8123547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Sentinels64c6,400$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,121.419146.1%88 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Sentinels60c5,060$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,03612642.9%54 W · 72 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels62c4,985$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.5119150.8%97 W · 94 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Sentinels60c4,167$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50018961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Sentinels63c4,105$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.1543539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Sentinels59c3,058$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.0921836.7%80 W · 138 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Disguised45c2,664$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.3416456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised55c2,516$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.742,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Sentinels37c2,400$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9817839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sentinels61c2,176$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels56c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1103,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Disguised36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.9941644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Sentinels60c1,981$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.4536034.4%124 W · 236 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Disguised24c1,905$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.1523932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…1b5fbacked Sentinels57c1,775$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.034955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Sentinels61c1,743$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.032,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels60c1,708$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.061,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Sentinels60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Sentinels43c1,635$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.6329927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Sentinels60c1,533$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.442072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised42c1,505$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.921,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Sentinels60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003268.8%22 W · 10 L+7.2wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+130.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Disguised31c1,500$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03577131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels61c1,500$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92040651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Sentinels58c1,466$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.581,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Disguised46c1,442$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.1725923.2%60 W · 199 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Sentinels60c1,386$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.63545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Disguised30c1,363$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.4327535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Sentinels60c1,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Disguised39c1,271$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.79745.4%44 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels62c1,224$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.41,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a32…01efbacked Sentinels41c1,040$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Sentinels62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Disguised34c1,000$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66054129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Sentinels60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Sentinels2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20440%0 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised38c999.99$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9946033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels11c982.4$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0672234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels64c979.89$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.7569756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Sentinels60c922$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.292450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Sentinels60c868$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.84770.2%33 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Sentinels60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec24…9544backed Disguised30c832.45$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.364440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Sentinels65c830.77$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Sentinels64c818.75$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52418347%86 W · 97 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Sentinels2c800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14598.5%5 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised37c785.52$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.452,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Disguised40c778.45$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6722636.7%83 W · 143 L-16.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels63c700.31$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels60c700.01$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Sentinels60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb28…02bbbacked Sentinels60c650$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.523057%131 W · 99 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Disguised70c642.35$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.081,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2489…60f1backed Sentinels72c641.67$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.76740.3%27 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised63c632.17$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7548652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Disguised40c562.87$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.249935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Sentinels64c559.38$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35836260.5%219 W · 143 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Sentinels60c516.67$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Sentinels61c510$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.21,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Disguised60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015953.5%85 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Sentinels60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Sentinels60c498.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.2513054.6%71 W · 59 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Sentinels60c491$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.67646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Sentinels64c483$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.127044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Sentinels60c482$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.266445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels35c472.59$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.661,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised55c446.15$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.851,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Sentinels59c407.37$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.352441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Sentinels40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf386…9b3fbacked Sentinels5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels60c395$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23756432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed Sentinels64c370$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.83959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Sentinels64c370$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.81,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sentinels60c369$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9545344.6%202 W · 251 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1add…924abacked Disguised34c350.65$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.651323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised37c347.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.571,72829.5%509 W · 1,219 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Sentinels60c347.28$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.378439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Sentinels64c343.89$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.096352.4%33 W · 30 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Disguised38c342.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.119035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Sentinels59c338.45$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.794852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20074344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels68c332$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4248157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc793…59ecbacked Sentinels60c330$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1983938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Sentinels33c320$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.816546.1%76 W · 89 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2de…6e5cbacked Sentinels63c319.05$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110560%63 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels15c312.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0294134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked Sentinels30c307.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.17757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.