Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe64e618779de878d5c0469bacbff86a0c887576a257015fab95af8ca90d1047d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $410,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $410,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Disguised | 39c | 195,566$77,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,499.56 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels | 60c | 65,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,000 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Sentinels | 64c | 27,413$17,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,496.47 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Disguised | 37c | 18,888$6,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,899.44 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Sentinels | 57c | 16,897$9,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,588.86 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Sentinels | 60c | 16,022$9,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670.56 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 10,596$6,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,657.36 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Sentinels | 61c | 9,560$5,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,813.97 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…7adebacked Sentinels | 60c | 7,918$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels | 64c | 7,108$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.72 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Sentinels | 55c | 6,544$3,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.81 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Sentinels | 64c | 6,400$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.4 | 191 | 46.1%88 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sentinels | 60c | 5,060$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Sentinels | 62c | 4,985$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.51 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Sentinels | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Sentinels | 63c | 4,105$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.15 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Sentinels | 59c | 3,058$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,806.09 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Disguised | 45c | 2,664$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.34 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Disguised | 55c | 2,516$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.74 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Sentinels | 37c | 2,400$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.98 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sentinels | 61c | 2,176$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.4 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sentinels | 56c | 2,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Disguised | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,981$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.45 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Disguised | 24c | 1,905$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.15 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Sentinels | 57c | 1,775$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.03 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Sentinels | 61c | 1,743$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.03 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels | 60c | 1,708$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.06 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Sentinels | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Sentinels | 43c | 1,635$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.63 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,533$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.44 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Disguised | 42c | 1,505$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.92 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +7.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Disguised | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Sentinels | 61c | 1,500$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Sentinels | 58c | 1,466$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.58 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Disguised | 46c | 1,442$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,386$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Disguised | 30c | 1,363$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.43 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Sentinels | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a0…35b6backed Disguised | 39c | 1,271$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.7 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sentinels | 62c | 1,224$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.4 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…01efbacked Sentinels | 41c | 1,040$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Sentinels | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Disguised | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Sentinels | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Sentinels | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Disguised | 38c | 999.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Sentinels | 11c | 982.4$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Sentinels | 64c | 979.89$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.75 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sentinels | 60c | 922$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.2 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbc…5dfcbacked Sentinels | 60c | 868$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.8 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Sentinels | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…9544backed Disguised | 30c | 832.45$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.36 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Sentinels | 65c | 830.77$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Sentinels | 64c | 818.75$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Sentinels | 2c | 800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 37c | 785.52$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Disguised | 40c | 778.45$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.67 | 226 | 36.7%83 W · 143 L | -16.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 63c | 700.31$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 60c | 700.01$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Sentinels | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Sentinels | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Disguised | 70c | 642.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…60f1backed Sentinels | 72c | 641.67$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.7 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised | 63c | 632.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.75 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Disguised | 40c | 562.87$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.24 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Sentinels | 64c | 559.38$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Sentinels | 60c | 516.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Sentinels | 61c | 510$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.2 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Disguised | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3911…30f3backed Disguised | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Sentinels | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sentinels | 60c | 498.75$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.25 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Sentinels | 60c | 491$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.6 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Sentinels | 64c | 483$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.12 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Sentinels | 60c | 482$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.2 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 35c | 472.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 55c | 446.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.85 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Sentinels | 59c | 407.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e573backed Sentinels | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…9b3fbacked Sentinels | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels | 60c | 395$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Sentinels | 64c | 370$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Sentinels | 64c | 370$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.8 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sentinels | 60c | 369$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked Disguised | 34c | 350.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 37c | 347.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Sentinels | 60c | 347.28$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.37 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed Sentinels | 64c | 343.89$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.09 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Disguised | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Sentinels | 59c | 338.45$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.79 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels | 68c | 332$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…59ecbacked Sentinels | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Sentinels | 33c | 320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Sentinels | 63c | 319.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels | 15c | 312.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Sentinels | 30c | 307.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.