Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x285a8d1e21c16dd30d14a27d143a6e9269f8dc1217f45ab9c985befaee37f3eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Disguised | 47c | 11,548$5,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,437.18 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised | 40c | 7,999$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230.34 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sentinels | 61c | 7,762$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.82 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Sentinels | 66c | 6,139$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.96 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Disguised | 10c | 4,091$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed Disguised | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sentinels | 51c | 3,336$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.25 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 46c | 3,186$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.68 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels | 54c | 2,565$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.29 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Sentinels | 62c | 2,429$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.51 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Sentinels | 58c | 2,164$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.6 | 269 | 42.4%114 W · 155 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Sentinels | 64c | 1,804$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.8 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Sentinels | 69c | 1,432$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.94 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels | 64c | 1,423$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.48 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Disguised | 51c | 1,175$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.23 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70f…3c97backed Sentinels | 66c | 1,136$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.88 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…5410backed Disguised | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Disguised | 52c | 980.85$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.04 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels | 24c | 966.92$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.45 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Sentinels | 55c | 932.32$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.01 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Sentinels | 57c | 873.22$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.98 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Disguised | 52c | 700$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels | 49c | 640.6$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.62 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Sentinels | 52c | 608.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.06 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Sentinels | 54c | 606.24$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Disguised | 38c | 515$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Disguised | 39c | 500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Disguised | 48c | 496.48$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.02 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…2d97backed Sentinels | 60c | 458.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Sentinels | 40c | 439.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.97 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Sentinels | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…6443backed Sentinels | 16c | 395.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Sentinels | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Sentinels | 73c | 322$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…d66fbacked Sentinels | 56c | 305.08$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.34 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Sentinels | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…5051backed Sentinels | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Sentinels | 51c | 288.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Disguised | 56c | 285.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Disguised | 35c | 285$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Disguised | 71c | 283.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels | 30c | 267.8$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.96 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…a2fbbacked Disguised | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Disguised | 49c | 258.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Disguised | 73c | 250$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked Disguised | 51c | 225.39$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec02…3dd1backed Disguised | 64c | 212.37$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -22.3wins | -0.16per pick | 65cpaid | -29%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Disguised | 65c | 205.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Disguised | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Disguised | 43c | 198.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.45 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Sentinels | 52c | 198.33$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…2b66backed Sentinels | 23c | 192.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Disguised | 33c | 183.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Disguised | 55c | 183.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed Sentinels | 39c | 182.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Sentinels | 49c | 171.96$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Disguised | 50c | 162.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Sentinels | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Sentinels | 50c | 148.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Sentinels | 50c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Sentinels | 56c | 137.58$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +20.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Disguised | 79c | 127.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Sentinels | 56c | 126.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked Disguised | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Sentinels | 64c | 113.92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Sentinels | 43c | 107.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed Sentinels | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Disguised | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sentinels | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sentinels | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised | 46c | 99.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Sentinels | 20c | 98.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Disguised | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…df57backed Disguised | 42c | 87.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a8…33dbbacked Sentinels | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Disguised | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…0a71backed Sentinels | 58c | 74.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 207 | 58.5%121 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Sentinels | 55c | 73.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Sentinels | 50c | 72.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Disguised | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 21.4%65 W · 239 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Disguised | 79c | 66.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Sentinels | 55c | 61.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Disguised | 58c | 60.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Disguised | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…12efbacked Sentinels | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Sentinels | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Sentinels | 61c | 52.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…b77abacked Sentinels | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Sentinels | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d688backed Disguised | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Sentinels | 52c | 45.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Sentinels | 53c | 42.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Disguised | 46c | 39.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Sentinels | 55c | 34.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Sentinels | 51c | 33.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 275 | 35.3%97 W · 178 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7d…fa91backed Sentinels | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…6dcfbacked Disguised | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group StageDisguised won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerDisguised won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.