CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86659c822c0997421728d3ebba056d9ad3d0bb86820f95c8a1be4212c889678c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof BASEMENT BOYS, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed MANA eSports | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.99 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 2,706$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.05 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 1,866$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 1,612$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.73 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…c8e2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,024$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 615.58$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 473$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 418$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 244.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed MANA eSports | 62c | 235$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe174…f74bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed MANA eSports | 63c | 137.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 46.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 38c | 30.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed MANA eSports | 62c | 23.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed MANA eSports | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed MANA eSports | 71c | 19.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.