TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x890d…1f64

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60.57
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,102.7%+$627.01
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$88.17
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$10.23
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$31.9
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.07
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+138.6%+$87.22
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+33.3%+$41.67
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$116.03
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$46.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Jacksonville Dolphins (-2.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.53
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+228.9%+$140.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+227.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+117.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.14
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$102.86
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.43
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.5%+$12.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$3.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$10.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$163.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.