Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2119133dd13304bc132c1fbc67c3d599a579873e0d7306c1267786bab72e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $752,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $756,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 638,216$326,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326,906.42 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 415,082$202,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212,896.26 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 99,653$48,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,822.88 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,500 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 40,000$19,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,650 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Over | 51c | 19,656$10,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,103.03 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Under | 49c | 15,617$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.52 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 14,272$6,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,278.63 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 10,750$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.76 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 7,800$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,036.5 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.27 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 48c | 7,021$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.45 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 49c | 7,014$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577.33 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 50c | 6,767$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.34 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 6,521$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.72 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 3,029$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 40c | 1,336$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.16 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 14c | 1,181$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x327b…28cabacked Under | 55c | 975.68$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 886.86$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 797.15$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.6 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 44c | 790.52$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.2 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e4…00bdbacked Under | 50c | 772$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 6c | 561.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Over | 46c | 500$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 492.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 50c | 281$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…294dbacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 40c | 217.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Over | 20c | 179.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 123.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 25c | 118.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 47c | 117.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 50c | 115.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 44c | 111.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 99.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Over | 22c | 91.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 79.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Under | 50c | 78.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 30c | 66.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a4…5528backed Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8beabacked Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b76…0ad6backed Under | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7622…542bbacked Under | 78c | 63.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27a2…e993backed Under | 79c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 51c | 58.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Under | 79c | 56.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 52c | 56.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 58c | 51.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 41.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243d…c2ecbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…1f64backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 54c | 34.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 58c | 30.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 56c | 29.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…ec6abacked Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…59cebacked Over | 71c | 24.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d11…bee6backed Under | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5this page
- CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow WarriorsHawaii Rainbow Warriors won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-9.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.