Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d1522ff1787149085fe1debf7870e98ecc6a180642b7c0fdf2abc15ab4d41f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof CSUN Matadors, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed CSUN Matadors | 12c | 4,461$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.54 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed CSUN Matadors | 59c | 3,418$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.62 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked CSUN Matadors | 17c | 2,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…669ebacked CSUN Matadors | 25c | 1,937$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed CSUN Matadors | 23c | 1,300$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed CSUN Matadors | 11c | 1,276$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…12dfbacked CSUN Matadors | 4c | 1,197$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 9c | 900$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…1b3cbacked CSUN Matadors | 14c | 899.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked CSUN Matadors | 14c | 879.96$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed CSUN Matadors | 10c | 772.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked CSUN Matadors | 13c | 555$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…3d6abacked CSUN Matadors | 19c | 538.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…f4fcbacked CSUN Matadors | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed CSUN Matadors | 17c | 494.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…e0edbacked CSUN Matadors | 19c | 477.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 468.94$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked CSUN Matadors | 9c | 450.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…c7aebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 361.21$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked CSUN Matadors | 23c | 347.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed CSUN Matadors | 18c | 340.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 329.34$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 317.11$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed CSUN Matadors | 13c | 277.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…2afbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 77c | 275.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed CSUN Matadors | 15c | 268.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ef…1906backed CSUN Matadors | 16c | 263.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 79c | 248.34$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 7c | 235.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.27 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…bcabbacked CSUN Matadors | 18c | 221.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked CSUN Matadors | 24c | 204.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed CSUN Matadors | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed CSUN Matadors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed CSUN Matadors | 20c | 199.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed CSUN Matadors | 19c | 180$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked CSUN Matadors | 13c | 180$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CSUN Matadors | 17c | 161.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 150.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed CSUN Matadors | 15c | 139.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…163bbacked CSUN Matadors | 16c | 123.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b96…9af3backed CSUN Matadors | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b07…c578backed CSUN Matadors | 14c | 116.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed CSUN Matadors | 19c | 113.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed CSUN Matadors | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed CSUN Matadors | 11c | 105.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors | 16c | 99.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…cf0bbacked CSUN Matadors | 17c | 97.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed CSUN Matadors | 17c | 75.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 70.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed CSUN Matadors | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed CSUN Matadors | 17c | 61.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed CSUN Matadors | 17c | 61.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 34.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 76c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1f…e5a3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 80c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsthis page
- CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors: O/U 157.5Under won
- Spread: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (-9.5)Hawaii Rainbow Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.