TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe08…12df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$5.56
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$7.97
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$26.66
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.35
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.43
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Forsaken (BO5) - Rift Legends Playoffsbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$154.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$165.88
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+83.9%+$39.23
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$72.59
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$134.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-60.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BMZ vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked The QUBE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$6.07
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Group Stagebacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TEAM ORUGA (BO3) - CCT South America Series #7 Playoffsbacked TEAM ORUGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 7 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.25
Red Wings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Red Wings vs. Devilsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$4.58
CSUN Matadors vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked CSUN Matadors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+356.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+356.6%+$96.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+67.5%+$9.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrainbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.