TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado Buffaloes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Wildcatsof Arizona Wildcats, Colorado Buffaloes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,249 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Buffaloes11c11,725$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.65,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes2c9,308$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.382,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd162…0d24backed Colorado Buffaloes21c7,163$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.591323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Colorado Buffaloes11c6,532$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4821636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Colorado Buffaloes4c5,608$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7614930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Colorado Buffaloes26c4,665$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.2115243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arizona Wildcats77c4,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Colorado Buffaloes16c3,714$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.532,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Colorado Buffaloes2c3,689$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.561,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Wildcats79c3,641$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7134943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Buffaloes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.972,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Buffaloes6c2,792$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5e…e87cbacked Arizona Wildcats67c2,231$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.819100%9 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Buffaloes12c2,152$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.964,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Colorado Buffaloes10c2,126$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.662140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Buffaloes15c1,967$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.6525130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Colorado Buffaloes19c1,343$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.7514027.1%38 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Buffaloes10c1,248$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.051,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Colorado Buffaloes24c1,245$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.092540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Colorado Buffaloes12c1,114$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Colorado Buffaloes18c1,106$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.929729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Wildcats80c967.89$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.163,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c29…21aabacked Colorado Buffaloes16c800.74$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Colorado Buffaloes10c754.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Colorado Buffaloes3c749.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Colorado Buffaloes24c723.1$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.116235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Arizona Wildcats77c693$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.0884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Colorado Buffaloes10c670.45$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5725829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Colorado Buffaloes20c661.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.179144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Colorado Buffaloes23c643.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9239742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Arizona Wildcats80c622.5$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.316157.4%35 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Colorado Buffaloes23c621.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4961446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Arizona Wildcats78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Buffaloes15c553.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.653,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e6…d075backed Arizona Wildcats73c550.63$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.991540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Arizona Wildcats80c527.03$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.415855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes9c500.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.092,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Colorado Buffaloes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Colorado Buffaloes10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5082846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado Buffaloes10c480.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Colorado Buffaloes18c463.73$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.664647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes10c423.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Buffaloes10c398.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.871,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked Arizona Wildcats76c361.83$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.849051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ab5…ff12backed Colorado Buffaloes21c324.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.598130.9%25 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec1…070ebacked Colorado Buffaloes29c304.91$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Colorado Buffaloes26c301.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0314049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Colorado Buffaloes22c262.41$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.737655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Colorado Buffaloes10c259.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Arizona Wildcats79c251.66$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8117062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…0d85backed Colorado Buffaloes20c246.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Buffaloes11c199.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.922,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Colorado Buffaloes11c199.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9238837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Arizona Wildcats76c190.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.931646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Colorado Buffaloes15c189.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.59845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Arizona Wildcats78c186.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Buffaloes23c183.17$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.054,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Arizona Wildcats77c180.86$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado Buffaloes11c172.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Colorado Buffaloes19c169.2$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.181,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Arizona Wildcats63c156.53$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.344344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colorado Buffaloes10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado Buffaloes9c149.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9233445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Colorado Buffaloes21c146.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.824221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Colorado Buffaloes15c119.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.925650%28 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Colorado Buffaloes29c115.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Arizona Wildcats79c111.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.527057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Colorado Buffaloes12c85.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bca…05d8backed Colorado Buffaloes22c85.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.981637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeefb…d11fbacked Colorado Buffaloes17c80.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3073…c6adbacked Colorado Buffaloes17c72.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.94119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed Colorado Buffaloes23c67.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.277031.4%22 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Colorado Buffaloes36c67.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1335646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Buffaloes19c58.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.971,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Arizona Wildcats78c51.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Colorado Buffaloes30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.13652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7f…3006backed Arizona Wildcats79c34.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Arizona Wildcats67c22.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3313464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e32…07b4backed Arizona Wildcats64c17.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe08…12dfbacked Arizona Wildcats74c17.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.