Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70948825e24fa70d0bbec5586ba8cbe669d2684f82e4cd9666627b1f32df9e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Buffaloesof Arizona Wildcats, Colorado Buffaloes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 1,890$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.39 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 52c | 683.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 520.42$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 515.66$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.87 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 510.5$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.04 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 334.06$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.01 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 330.42$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 56c | 320.42$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.98 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado Buffaloes | 66c | 306.44$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arizona Wildcats | 29c | 287.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Arizona Wildcats | 49c | 280.48$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 232.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 211.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…51f8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 55c | 209.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Arizona Wildcats | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…e11ebacked Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 193.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Wildcats | 20c | 179.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…2723backed Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 170.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3c…6f23backed Colorado Buffaloes | 55c | 154.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Colorado Buffaloes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Arizona Wildcats | 10c | 115.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 108.72$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Arizona Wildcats | 45c | 105.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 80c | 103.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arizona Wildcats | 33c | 91.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 72c | 87.91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Arizona Wildcats | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Arizona Wildcats | 40c | 61.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Colorado Buffaloes | 51c | 48.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Arizona Wildcats | 47c | 36.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 53c | 34.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 79c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-14.5)this page
- Arizona Wildcats vs. Colorado BuffaloesArizona Wildcats won
- Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-13.5)Colorado Buffaloes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.