TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof 1win, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,561
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,561 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win69c3,578$2,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,474.3286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Zero Tenacity35c3,533$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.5234544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed 1win65c3,181$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed 1win78c2,386$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.0211742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Zero Tenacity33c2,250$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.4981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 1win43c2,012$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.1862841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed 1win58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1609749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity20c1,689$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.0546240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed 1win71c1,559$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.932864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+60.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Zero Tenacity63c1,546$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.0751049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win50c1,485$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.932,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity42c1,467$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5980256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity46c1,313$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.921,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Zero Tenacity13c1,163$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.524251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity31c1,093$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.881,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Zero Tenacity30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Zero Tenacity36c925.13$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8665441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity38c891.44$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.0267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win60c869.12$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.2789938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed 1win59c829.7$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.8771342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed 1win8c768.86$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.216132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Zero Tenacity33c705.46$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.6669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked 1win67c690.38$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.611127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-42.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked 1win69c660.74$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.4214157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed 1win40c654.62$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.171,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity17c647.3$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.7655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed 1win64c640.58$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9416752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed 1win46c623.06$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5114251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Zero Tenacity34c620.65$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.087639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Zero Tenacity62c601.53$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 1win48c576.5$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.3179341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Zero Tenacity42c560.98$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.937832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Zero Tenacity58c526.35$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6732652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Zero Tenacity79c499.24$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4815244.7%68 W · 84 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Zero Tenacity26c496.56$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.5537945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win64c495.32$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8db…6181backed 1win19c495.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Zero Tenacity32c449.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8223342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Zero Tenacity31c439.88$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8525935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked 1win71c438.8$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.113444%59 W · 75 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 1win63c434.25$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.926144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed 1win65c421.12$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.733050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked 1win49c414.41$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity14c395.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.161,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked Zero Tenacity20c392.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.535330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Zero Tenacity35c383.8$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7123653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity32c346.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1461745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Zero Tenacity34c340.97$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.041060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed 1win45c298.87$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4917353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Zero Tenacity19c298.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.1652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed Zero Tenacity59c292.19$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.3420452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ddb…513dbacked 1win38c286.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Zero Tenacity46c283.46$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0526550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 1win60c256.63$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.4650032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed 1win66c253.91$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5812250%61 W · 61 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win65c245.63$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6670052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c97…fad7backed 1win44c239.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+109.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed 1win55c236.42$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7612454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked 1win43c235.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1922543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Zero Tenacity35c229.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.4453634%182 W · 354 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Zero Tenacity42c228.04$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.54247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Zero Tenacity60c211.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8825444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Zero Tenacity35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13021045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity30c193.89$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked 1win45c193.4$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0345052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Zero Tenacity13c191.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.485131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed 1win6c188.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3224131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce2…4255backed 1win46c182.42$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Zero Tenacity47c175.83$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6477941.1%320 W · 459 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Zero Tenacity42c173.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.091,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed 1win44c161.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.782450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…8b21backed Zero Tenacity33c155.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.294065%26 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x083e…c5ffbacked 1win68c151.68$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked 1win58c151$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.15048%24 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Zero Tenacity34c150$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9925348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed 1win44c149.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9133041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked 1win66c147.65$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9828062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked 1win67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.022842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked 1win68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0858152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity24c141.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.4624137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed 1win55c140.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8316453.7%88 W · 76 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed 1win51c131$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.862657.7%15 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked 1win53c130$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6940539.3%159 W · 246 L-0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7b0…6960backed 1win68c129.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.078055%44 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked 1win63c129.14$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2321742.9%93 W · 124 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed 1win66c126.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3810152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed 1win49c121.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.33844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…59e1backed 1win64c120.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.055549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed 1win53c118.24$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6850757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 1win57c118.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5336044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Zero Tenacity33c116.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed 1win47c115.54$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1614652.1%76 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Zero Tenacity42c115.25$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0748352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908b…247cbacked Zero Tenacity42c113.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.028254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zero Tenacity39c111.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1710560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed 1win67c109.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5224955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked 1win41c102.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8220738.6%80 W · 127 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d66…ffc9backed 1win55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Zero Tenacity35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9922845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Zero Tenacity22c99.55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2626956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.