TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof 1win, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed 1win59c2,398$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.7562841.1%258 W · 370 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity36c1,556$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.9536851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Zero Tenacity38c1,505$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.552857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win48c1,222$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.332,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Zero Tenacity55c1,194$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.1451049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed 1win46c1,062$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.847650.8%242 W · 234 L+16.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed 1win65c905.64$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3520457.8%118 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fbe…7d07backed Zero Tenacity51c853.45$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.8225444.5%113 W · 141 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win65c726.25$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity16c703.77$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.9746240.7%188 W · 274 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 1win75c698.38$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5261,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed 1win6c685.75$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.176132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Zero Tenacity39c635$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2429347.4%139 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Zero Tenacity62c549.8$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9236759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity26c533.21$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0461745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Zero Tenacity34c516.12$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8138855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity19c504.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked Zero Tenacity10c481.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.855330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity16c462.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.61,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed 1win62c414.98$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8724251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win69c406.45$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9686949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity26c405.28$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0329240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed 1win61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed 1win49c395.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.94647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed 1win72c393.42$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8348352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Zero Tenacity39c390.74$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4171454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed 1win61c278.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9613455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Zero Tenacity35c260.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3332652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed 1win66c259.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5225935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity36c250$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.831,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1win62c233.21$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.842,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed 1win54c217.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.11,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6117…2fafbacked Zero Tenacity39c192.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5317373.4%127 W · 46 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked 1win62c191.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7553844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Zero Tenacity39c172.28$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.259555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Zero Tenacity73c169.38$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.448746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed 1win38c146.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6150032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed 1win48c118.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5425253.2%134 W · 118 L+20.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 1win33c107.21$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 1win57c106$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5889938%342 W · 557 L-45.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity38c105.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed 1win61c100.02$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7650757.4%291 W · 216 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Zero Tenacity55c97.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7925639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed 1win79c90.47$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3130647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad09…612cbacked Zero Tenacity53c90.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.492842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Zero Tenacity22c85.86$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6729350.2%147 W · 146 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Zero Tenacity14c78.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9995841.1%394 W · 564 L+32.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed 1win33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.825131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Zero Tenacity27c69.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9235948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity66c68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1224137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity43c66.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed 1win64c60.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8524138.6%93 W · 148 L-18.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x908b…247cbacked Zero Tenacity40c59.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.888254.9%45 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 1win59c59.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.051,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40c1…89f7backed Zero Tenacity35c55.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked 1win60c54.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7433854.1%183 W · 155 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1676…ab19backed 1win50c45.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.695545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…ef1cbacked 1win50c44.93$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4722740.5%92 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win80c42.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3140644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked 1win56c42.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.928846.9%135 W · 153 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed 1win47c41.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3846664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed 1win37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.830250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Zero Tenacity54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.420151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed 1win35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5135430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Zero Tenacity43c37.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.386152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8b…01e9backed 1win46c36.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.594443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64f0…b6c5backed Zero Tenacity36c35.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.863262.5%20 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 1win37c34.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8636044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed 1win60c33.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1216054.4%87 W · 73 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked 1win66c31.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8414963.1%94 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed 1win46c31.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3912937.2%48 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed 1win56c30.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.946149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed 1win52c28.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5716752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed 1win70c27.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4313262.9%83 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked 1win62c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.536654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1620…227bbacked 1win70c24.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9513762.8%86 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed 1win46c23.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5921133.6%71 W · 140 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Zero Tenacity65c20.27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1520858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 1win62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed 1win71c15.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9534045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed 1win70c15.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526157.4%35 W · 26 L-7.7wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-17.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.