Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66a3617cc1f33ecf4339c418e86bf6acc28e4a4c1b5589d79516fe6e32c06a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof 1win, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 4,023$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.65 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed 1win | 65c | 3,163$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.02 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1win | 67c | 1,686$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.55 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 1,252$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.12 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1win | 64c | 1,078$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.8 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Zero Tenacity | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 1,018$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 67c | 1,014$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.44 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 890$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 705.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed 1win | 64c | 608.89$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked 1win | 72c | 600.24$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 578.87$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.43 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 54c | 574.43$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Zero Tenacity | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 515.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.34 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked 1win | 60c | 421.04$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Zero Tenacity | 11c | 390.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Zero Tenacity | 40c | 364.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…677dbacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 338.55$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.78 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed 1win | 46c | 329.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed 1win | 72c | 320.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked 1win | 48c | 280.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.34 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed 1win | 51c | 279.95$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 269.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Zero Tenacity | 39c | 259.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed 1win | 74c | 244.32$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed 1win | 64c | 232.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 227.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed 1win | 65c | 225.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked 1win | 46c | 218.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked 1win | 48c | 193.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.12 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Zero Tenacity | 20c | 170.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked 1win | 46c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed 1win | 46c | 170$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed 1win | 66c | 154.06$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1win | 63c | 142.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity | 55c | 142.22$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Zero Tenacity | 36c | 134.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce2…4255backed 1win | 64c | 126$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked 1win | 79c | 124.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 1win | 51c | 120.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Zero Tenacity | 25c | 112.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 1win | 44c | 109$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed 1win | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed 1win | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Zero Tenacity | 22c | 82.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed 1win | 64c | 76.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked 1win | 47c | 76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Zero Tenacity | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked 1win | 66c | 73.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed 1win | 41c | 62.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked 1win | 50c | 57.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 56.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed 1win | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked 1win | 65c | 47.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed 1win | 57c | 44.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 64c | 43.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 1win | 56c | 40.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked 1win | 66c | 39.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed 1win | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…b61cbacked 1win | 65c | 33.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed 1win | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 1win | 61c | 30.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed 1win | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked 1win | 65c | 28.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked 1win | 68c | 21.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- First Blood in Game 2?Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.