La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24654fd0fffa3cfc30384752c32a53d7146a09347c421f1c659fb98c01f843b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 43,205$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 4c | 8,435$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.92 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 8c | 6,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,718$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 4c | 3,884$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 4c | 3,039$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 3,028$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Yes | 5c | 2,683$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab5c…3fbdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,676$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 4c | 2,398$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,266$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.61 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 4c | 2,207$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,035$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 1c | 1,943$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 4c | 1,679$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…dfc4backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d5…8338backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,354$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Yes | 8c | 1,273$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 4c | 1,176$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd691…8f16backed Yes | 4c | 1,007$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 4c | 1,004$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 3c | 950.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 4c | 900.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Yes | 3c | 838.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 4c | 775$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c6…74fcbacked Yes | 7c | 758$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 5c | 663.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Yes | 4c | 637.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…6e70backed Yes | 6c | 517.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4dcfbacked Yes | 4c | 507.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…eaa6backed Yes | 4c | 486.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 5c | 437.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 5c | 426.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b90…f0b0backed Yes | 4c | 379.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…30ddbacked Yes | 4c | 304.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 4c | 304$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…c174backed Yes | 4c | 300.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…260ebacked Yes | 6c | 268$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 4c | 266.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 4c | 245$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca73…b02ebacked Yes | 8c | 233.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 24cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…5a76backed Yes | 5c | 230.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Yes | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…5fd9backed Yes | 5c | 195.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…6e93backed Yes | 8c | 189.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe08…12dfbacked Yes | 8c | 150.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?this page
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.