La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc64a24297c79739ca0fb0ce48cfc45596c2b02bc2beac78ea16b414fae8623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 0c | 47,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 1c | 17,536$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 9c | 5,556$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 8c | 5,362$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.36 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 5,015$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cd…05f7backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8c…7026backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 26cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,865$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…0550backed Yes | 7c | 1,807$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…91c5backed Yes | 19c | 1,789$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 9c | 1,672$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 8c | 1,176$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 8c | 1,125$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,028$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…2d6dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 879.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 8c | 783.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 8c | 690$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de6ebacked Yes | 3c | 681.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 590.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 581.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 8c | 544$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 522.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664d…aa7dbacked Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 8c | 446.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 8c | 288.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked Yes | 18c | 280.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56a…fe7cbacked Yes | 8c | 252.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 8c | 237.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…f560backed Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…d006backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…5fd9backed Yes | 13c | 200.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes | 9c | 189.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…880bbacked Yes | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 15c | 175$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09de…6e70backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…d964backed Yes | 9c | 155.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 332 | 44%146 W · 186 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…bdaebacked Yes | 19c | 107.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed Yes | 19c | 104.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4adb…982ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…30fabacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…8b6cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…78cbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-25?Yes won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.