Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043f7e22a131eddbdfb1afbaedb1f58ee7de9f43d553d84d61c031603a23489d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oklahoma Soonersof Texas A&M Aggies, Oklahoma Sooners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,632 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.98 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 1,657$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 1,191$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.82 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 1,010$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.93 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 991.28$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.9 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 558.51$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.94 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 500.11$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Oklahoma Sooners | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.22 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 320.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 310.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 289.38$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 135.16$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Oklahoma Sooners | 53c | 111.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 39c | 93.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 51.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 50.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 49.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d6…e952backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 39.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 33.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 30.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 27.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…32dcbacked Oklahoma Sooners | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M AggiesOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 159.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 160.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 161.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 162.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.