Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 161.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690d306a4a6919f1ca4a08b56f7958bcd91714f124449fe6e03b9f750c077039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,356 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 1,723$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.37 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 53c | 749.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.52 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 51c | 607.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.03 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 595.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 48c | 437.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 47c | 390.42$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 389.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.1 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 337.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.61 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 256.76$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 251.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.72 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…2b9dbacked Over | 29c | 184.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 52c | 172.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 167$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 148.7$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 29c | 119.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6702…0fefbacked Over | 54c | 106.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…cf56backed Over | 48c | 97.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 15c | 91.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 70c | 88.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 52c | 87.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 79.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…e980backed Over | 51c | 52.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 49c | 50.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 56c | 46.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 51c | 44.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 38.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 29.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 47c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Under | 53c | 23.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 52c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277c…e529backed Under | 50c | 21.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 161.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M AggiesOklahoma Sooners won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 159.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 160.5Under won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. Texas A&M Aggies: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)Oklahoma Sooners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.