TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hurricanesof Red Wings, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$254,687
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,687 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde18…83bcbacked Red Wings37c67,568$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Hurricanes63c43,120$27,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,954.356152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes78c26,837$21,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,830.171,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings36c23,972$8,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,679.281,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings24c20,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes76c19,250$14,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.072,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Hurricanes63c17,821$11,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,593.9148549.7%241 W · 244 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Hurricanes64c11,911$7,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,306.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Red Wings36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.993661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Hurricanes63c7,587$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.6743456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes64c7,203$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.51,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes64c6,000$3,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1901,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Red Wings12c5,718$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.976527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Red Wings18c5,486$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.4562951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hurricanes63c5,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85022747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes70c4,595$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.3285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Red Wings35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9811553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Red Wings18c3,368$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.1917057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Red Wings0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings37c2,894$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.781,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Hurricanes80c2,681$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.96657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Hurricanes64c2,344$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.7518258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hurricanes64c2,220$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings4c2,140$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa464…252dbacked Hurricanes64c1,919$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.22875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Red Wings1c1,866$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.192504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Hurricanes65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56022946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62b…844abacked Hurricanes65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4614654.1%79 W · 67 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Red Wings37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings5c1,338$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5b…a699backed Red Wings18c1,159$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3008…5cb6backed Red Wings11c1,114$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Red Wings24c1,065$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.998837.5%33 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes64c1,010$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.668449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Red Wings38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings37c990$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.354047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…3a71backed Red Wings37c976.87$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.781457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings18c965.35$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.542,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157b…3096backed Red Wings37c957.12$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.532045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings18c956.94$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.421,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Red Wings11c923.08$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4689355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Red Wings36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Hurricanes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.258756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Hurricanes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2317442.5%74 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Red Wings10c763.11$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3130944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe499…d5c2backed Hurricanes66c608.19$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Red Wings36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2161,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Hurricanes63c600$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Red Wings31c595.86$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9751949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Hurricanes64c531.25$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.251,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…44bcbacked Red Wings9c525$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.65427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c6…75adbacked Red Wings22c523.56$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8540152.4%210 W · 191 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Red Wings36c508.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4252946.9%248 W · 281 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ee…0991backed Hurricanes62c507.4$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.81366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes64c500.03$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.0160249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Red Wings37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18528447.9%136 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Hurricanes75c476.83$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.1926657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Hurricanes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7525052.8%132 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…e693backed Red Wings3c450$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12557.3%4 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Red Wings37c439.56$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4445751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings19c437.64$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.393,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hurricanes71c418.74$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4521555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8607…3838backed Hurricanes65c412.25$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Hurricanes63c408.11$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15121158.8%124 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Red Wings36c400.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Red Wings36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x847d…2505backed Red Wings36c392.07$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.731118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-67%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Hurricanes63c391.15$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.286549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Hurricanes65c387.39$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3929946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Red Wings17c380$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3610667.9%72 W · 34 L+16.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9c41…7153backed Hurricanes65c375.12$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.95100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa37f…d9d2backed Hurricanes65c368.17$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Hurricanes64c363.76$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0858947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Red Wings12c351$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5692049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings37c346.15$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Red Wings37c337.84$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510643.4%46 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3ba…e356backed Hurricanes65c336.82$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde5…9776backed Hurricanes65c330.72$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Red Wings11c315.1$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hurricanes64c312.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9840356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hurricanes77c310.52$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.561,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2a…cb2cbacked Hurricanes65c309.74$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.542,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc47…15d4backed Hurricanes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Hurricanes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10853546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Hurricanes64c300$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10922352.9%118 W · 105 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Hurricanes62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11438555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…48bcbacked Hurricanes65c291.08$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.882650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Red Wings36c283.95$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5221534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Red Wings36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.847051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Red Wings37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe8…ad70backed Hurricanes63c266.28$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b8…5072backed Red Wings38c263.27$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa627…167cbacked Red Wings37c257.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Red Wings37c251$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.877248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Hurricanes63c250.86$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.822548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Red Wings30c250$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8419052.1%99 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Hurricanes64c250$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.7732150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.