Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacf8a39a09681774a52335837206ad07f7d167dd106b934f93fb53f674ab3dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $737,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $739,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 652,184$330,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321,257.51 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 50c | 300,000$148,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,500 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 112,412$55,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,081.78 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 21,768$11,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,515.11 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 18,888$9,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,255.12 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 50c | 12,416$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,213.12 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,297$4,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 52c | 10,102$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.06 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 9,492$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.56 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Under | 49c | 6,688$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 50c | 5,999$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.15 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Under | 52c | 2,199$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 51c | 1,812$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.81 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,697$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.54 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,567$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,152$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.56 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 3c | 965.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 41c | 842.32$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.07 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 773.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Under | 50c | 482.5$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 48c | 466.62$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 52c | 460.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Over | 51c | 436.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 417$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.5 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 7c | 412.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 49c | 406.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Under | 51c | 379.92$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Under | 6c | 376.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Over | 51c | 344.59$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Under | 44c | 342.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 38c | 325.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…f967backed Under | 4c | 318.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Over | 51c | 316.41$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 50c | 295.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 13c | 274.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 262$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Under | 24c | 258.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 51c | 243.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 51c | 217.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 217.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 53c | 216.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…fd97backed Over | 51c | 204.95$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…418cbacked Under | 49c | 195.82$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Over | 51c | 195.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 53c | 189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 51c | 179$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 49c | 167.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…40a4backed Over | 51c | 166.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 50c | 153.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Under | 49c | 146.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 46c | 142.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 47c | 133.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…a150backed Over | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Over | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6299…dd7dbacked Over | 51c | 122.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…0a40backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 119.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.55 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 50c | 112.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Under | 51c | 108.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…69e3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…a2d3backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Under | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…57ffbacked Over | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Under | 12c | 96.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Over | 51c | 92.71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Under | 49c | 92.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b1e5backed Under | 52c | 88.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Over | 51c | 84.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8155…eb2cbacked Over | 51c | 83.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Under | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131e…3343backed Under | 48c | 79.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Under | 50c | 77.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Over | 51c | 75.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 51c | 64.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 52c | 63.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 75c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Under | 50c | 61.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a67…c830backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Over | 51c | 58.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5this page
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall Thundering Herd won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 158.5Over won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-17.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.