Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-17.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf682a4588dd0550bd44378da50308dd8a528a83d7e7e5c6585050549b9936bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marshall Thundering Herdof Marshall Thundering Herd, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 300,000$155,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,173.06 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 48c | 249,973$119,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,987.22 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 119,181$55,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,592 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 104,631$56,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,178.79 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 15,010$7,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,504.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 10,443$5,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.1 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 49c | 6,711$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,422.67 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 5,696$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.89 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.94 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 4,417$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Marshall Thundering Herd | 53c | 1,039$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.77 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.36 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 48c | 373.27$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 370.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.68 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 363$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 200.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 198.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d96…9f57backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 51c | 187.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 165$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 127.06$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 119$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…fdb3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 51c | 116.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 48c | 115.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 110.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 110.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 101.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…a2d3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 95.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…818cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 74.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba5…26febacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 67.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +10.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620d…1464backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 50.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 46.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…b2debacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…0e18backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 38.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…aa4ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 35.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 32.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…84dfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 41c | 31.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 29.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 28.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 50c | 28.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 26.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 50c | 25.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c3…f427backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 25.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…d0f7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 21.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Marshall Thundering Herd | 66c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407f…d62abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 78c | 16.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-17.5)this page
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering HerdMarshall Thundering Herd won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 158.5Over won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 159.5Over won
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Marshall Thundering Herd: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)Marshall Thundering Herd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.