TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-18.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marshall Thundering Herdof Marshall Thundering Herd, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$737,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$740,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $737,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Marshall Thundering Herd48c690,461$334,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356,013.1435945.1%162 W · 197 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c250,000$130,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130,0009860.2%59 W · 39 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c200,000$104,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,00069142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c151,041$75,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,520.5521754.8%119 W · 98 L+15.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c51,656$26,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,859.541,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c14,910$7,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,852.45,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c12,216$6,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,129.6510441.3%43 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Marshall Thundering Herd48c11,279$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.964339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c10,961$5,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,637.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c10,765$5,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,505.8512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c10,000$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.298747.1%41 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c3,002$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50116954.4%92 W · 77 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c2,596$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c2,400$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2362,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Marshall Thundering Herd51c1,780$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.156445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c1,587$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.578749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Marshall Thundering Herd51c1,283$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.229947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c1,002$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51155749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd49c610.97$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.5932146.7%150 W · 171 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c551.2$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.529543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c499.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.4989146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Marshall Thundering Herd51c438.94$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.632948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c412.41$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.245,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.7119848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd51c351.68$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.554344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c279.2$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.07540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0f…f3e6backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13511946.2%55 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c263.23$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c239.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.799440.4%38 W · 56 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c237$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2491848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks22c231.49$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.354942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks49c199.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks49c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9914151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c190.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.174153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x131e…3343backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c190.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c190.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.013951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005151%26 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c181.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.365444.4%24 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.17060%42 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c159.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.698750.6%44 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c159.8$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7197447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3323…c289backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks9c149.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Marshall Thundering Herd50c144.84$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.893246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519657.1%112 W · 84 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c135.63$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7412341.5%51 W · 72 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2694…415abacked Marshall Thundering Herd51c133.43$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.961540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6299…dd7dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd50c122.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.043043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Marshall Thundering Herd51c118.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.417450%37 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5d…71f0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c112.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1de6…fdb3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c112.08$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8155…eb2cbacked Marshall Thundering Herd50c102.24$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.123348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…00b3backed Marshall Thundering Herd51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0411159.5%66 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c97.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e93…a2d3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00c…c03bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c95.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b46…944cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018656.5%105 W · 81 L+12.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x92bf…0f9bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd51c89.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.164146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c89.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fc…33e2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5084…40a4backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c82.76$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.422748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x381d…818cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c82.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks49c81.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks46c80.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.132913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marshall Thundering Herd58c79.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ea…066ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.947957%45 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c65.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6315947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44d8…111ebacked Marshall Thundering Herd51c63.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.351435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7676…aa4ebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c61.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307846.2%36 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cf…058dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61520%3 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c54.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.914951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…2d47backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c54.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks43c51.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.16648.5%32 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Marshall Thundering Herd47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1a1…be8bbacked Marshall Thundering Herd47c49$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.972860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253568.6%24 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.028547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9617258.7%101 W · 71 L+14.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c42.12$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3335…d0f7backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks53c40.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6640%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbab6…f845backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c39.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.483554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac7…bf06backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c38.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b17…a150backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c38.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+60.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0bdf…7f09backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c37.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6711858.5%69 W · 49 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9008…0e18backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c37.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks52c37.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.314443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeed…f223backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks51c36.47$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Marshall Thundering Herd50c35.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks50c34.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-80.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f4…dec3backed Marshall Thundering Herd50c34.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.054100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Marshall Thundering Herd45c33.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cc…aab2backed Marshall Thundering Herd47c31.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x413d…0db8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks54c30.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.9wins-0.56per pick70cpaid-81.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.131666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.