Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf269ec07045b959c41b5798e975e08d0ea91c28262438ec683085b62c88264f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Incarnate Word Cardinalsof Incarnate Word Cardinals, East Texas A&M Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 102,741$38,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,240.1 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 67,412$42,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,132.5 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 9,400$5,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,828 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 8,531$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250.27 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 3,488$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.74 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 2,800$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed East Texas A&M Lions | 51c | 2,151$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.2 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 1,916$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 1,669$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.78 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 27c | 1,655$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.38 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Texas A&M Lions | 45c | 968.24$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.4 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 924$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.36 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed East Texas A&M Lions | 35c | 513.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 499.78$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.89 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 442.02$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 60c | 437.35$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 425$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed East Texas A&M Lions | 33c | 413.52$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 64c | 400.91$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed East Texas A&M Lions | 60c | 231$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.71 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 76c | 224.45$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked East Texas A&M Lions | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 68c | 197$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 66c | 187.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Texas A&M Lions | 31c | 186$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 157.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed East Texas A&M Lions | 28c | 138.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 40c | 104.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed East Texas A&M Lions | 62c | 103$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Texas A&M Lions | 50c | 102.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 40c | 100.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 71c | 84.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 35c | 70.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 60.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 60.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.17 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 73c | 54.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b06…590cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 50.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed East Texas A&M Lions | 33c | 49.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…c224backed East Texas A&M Lions | 26c | 48.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 54c | 42.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed East Texas A&M Lions | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3557…4596backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 38.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 60c | 25.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 63c | 23.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed East Texas A&M Lions | 57c | 18.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…eb6cbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 77c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked East Texas A&M Lions | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lionsthis page
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 144.5Over won
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. East Texas A&M Lions: O/U 145.5Over won
- Spread: East Texas A&M Lions (-4.5)Incarnate Word Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.