Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dddb14ed1c56c64834712c87c7d26a81a2fb4847f57ab5f5f8f18616e4f4e20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Marist Red Foxes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Merrimack College Warriors | 52c | 1,985$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.86 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Marist Red Foxes | 46c | 1,542$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.15 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Merrimack College Warriors | 36c | 1,183$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 23c | 900$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…53e6backed Marist Red Foxes | 57c | 854.47$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 842.65$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Merrimack College Warriors | 56c | 707.55$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.73 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Marist Red Foxes | 46c | 591$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.67 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 50c | 590.11$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 73c | 586.3$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marist Red Foxes | 58c | 441.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed Marist Red Foxes | 52c | 380$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Merrimack College Warriors | 63c | 318.27$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Marist Red Foxes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marist Red Foxes | 65c | 188.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marist Red Foxes | 46c | 173.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…f65cbacked Marist Red Foxes | 6c | 172.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Marist Red Foxes | 14c | 107.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marist Red Foxes | 24c | 107.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Marist Red Foxes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Marist Red Foxes | 15c | 97.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Marist Red Foxes | 47c | 96.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Marist Red Foxes | 44c | 95.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Marist Red Foxes | 47c | 93.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marist Red Foxes | 70c | 87.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 76.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Merrimack College Warriors | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 73.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 55c | 58.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 53.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Marist Red Foxes | 50c | 50.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Marist Red Foxes | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Marist Red Foxes | 57c | 44.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Marist Red Foxes | 45c | 40.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 37.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 45c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 46c | 32.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Marist Red Foxes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…1193backed Marist Red Foxes | 74c | 25.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Merrimack College Warriors | 51c | 25.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 58c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Marist Red Foxes | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxesthis page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 133.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 134.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 135.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 136.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.