Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb564487024f9253cb21c793f0fcbb48063f7840381d6b3c80c3b846e5e7bf867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof California Baptist Lancers, UT Arlington Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 9,004$4,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,411.96 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 5,051$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 1,788$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.23 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 7c | 1,687$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 1,594$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.25 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 942.29$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.15 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 38c | 757.82$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.4 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 728.16$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.5 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 17c | 515.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 61c | 409$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 45c | 406$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 24c | 380.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California Baptist Lancers | 59c | 364.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 27c | 363.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 28c | 313.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 272$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.52 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 34c | 226.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Baptist Lancers | 59c | 224$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 9c | 219.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 125 | 37.6%47 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.33 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 165.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 30c | 156.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked California Baptist Lancers | 69c | 144.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 125.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 51c | 117.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 40c | 100.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 46c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed California Baptist Lancers | 52c | 99.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 68.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…da06backed California Baptist Lancers | 70c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 38.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 37c | 37.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 33.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed California Baptist Lancers | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed California Baptist Lancers | 67c | 29.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1296…01ccbacked California Baptist Lancers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 62c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 49c | 26.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 68c | 22.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed California Baptist Lancers | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericksthis page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 131.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 132.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. UT Arlington Mavericks: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: UT Arlington Mavericks (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.