Euroleague · resolved market
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bae8705f1dd03bb24eb125dc0405e8ae89c9bf65f7e1dd2150774057cfb9a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nanjing Monkey Kingof Nanjing Monkey King, Xinjiang Flying Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Nanjing Monkey King | 40c | 24,861$9,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,862.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 59c | 19,771$11,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,653.55 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 59c | 4,997$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nanjing Monkey King | 38c | 3,292$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.14 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nanjing Monkey King | 62c | 1,553$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.82 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 1,452$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed Nanjing Monkey King | 30c | 1,450$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 1,378$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nanjing Monkey King | 33c | 1,283$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.79 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…49d2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 38c | 790.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 785$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.35 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 462$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Nanjing Monkey King | 27c | 411.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.57 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 407.8$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 384.96$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 61c | 294$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 78c | 188$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Nanjing Monkey King | 55c | 182.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nanjing Monkey King | 64c | 180.69$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.39 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 28c | 163.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 25c | 159$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.44 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 32c | 155.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 69c | 144.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 136.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.96 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 38c | 127.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 66c | 127.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Nanjing Monkey King | 36c | 122.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nanjing Monkey King | 20c | 116.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nanjing Monkey King | 31c | 99.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 60c | 98.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 60c | 65.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe66d…97acbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 60.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 46c | 44.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 44.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…86ddbacked Nanjing Monkey King | 34c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Nanjing Monkey King | 37c | 41.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…6858backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nanjing Monkey King | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 68c | 37.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Nanjing Monkey King | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Nanjing Monkey King | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…7c28backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…2ff5backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 74cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.