Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x680b23cbf36f279cbc4cc4fb365ef70fb68b26d1154b23ceee1ceeb7138541f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof MOUZ, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 13,114$6,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,395.68 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed MOUZ | 48c | 10,586$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,132.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 50c | 9,483$4,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,762.13 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Team Liquid | 43c | 6,534$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.97 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 40c | 5,931$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.22 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid | 56c | 5,133$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.37 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 4,646$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 49c | 4,457$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.55 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,130$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,116$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.08 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 46c | 3,028$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.58 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 2,782$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.41 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,675$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.38 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 35c | 1,551$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.01 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed MOUZ | 56c | 1,498$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.72 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,200$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,109$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.15 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 10c | 1,046$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked MOUZ | 56c | 938.32$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.46 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 900$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.83 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed MOUZ | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 53c | 858.75$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.9 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 810$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed MOUZ | 62c | 789.41$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 780.55$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Team Liquid | 44c | 751.87$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.13 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 726$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.12 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 61c | 716.46$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…e8b1backed Team Liquid | 76c | 659.35$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 658.45$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.23 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 70c | 636.95$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.87 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 624.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 32c | 574.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.05 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 499.73$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MOUZ | 34c | 497.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.27 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed MOUZ | 59c | 496.91$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e9f7backed Team Liquid | 42c | 479$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 477.81$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…51e8backed Team Liquid | 43c | 468.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 47c | 426.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MOUZ | 53c | 426.73$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.17 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 419.1$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.1 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 65c | 399.15$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…1362backed Team Liquid | 41c | 365.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +167.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed MOUZ | 41c | 350.32$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.92 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 64c | 350$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 54c | 338.58$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed MOUZ | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 321.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.48 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Team Liquid | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…6d65backed Team Liquid | 73c | 292.9$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 65c | 291.33$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 34c | 290.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…2fd4backed MOUZ | 58c | 279$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 30c | 276.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…b08ebacked MOUZ | 25c | 269.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 62c | 265.62$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ | 55c | 252.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MOUZ | 58c | 243.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 242.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Team Liquid | 67c | 237.43$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed MOUZ | 31c | 230$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 54c | 228.51$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MOUZ | 32c | 225.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 220.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…907ebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 212$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed MOUZ | 50c | 210.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 168 | 35.7%60 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…3190backed MOUZ | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…4342backed MOUZ | 57c | 209$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…b691backed Team Liquid | 43c | 207$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ | 44c | 201.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed MOUZ | 41c | 201.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed MOUZ | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b54…548dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ | 56c | 199.94$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Liquid | 46c | 194$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 60c | 188.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed MOUZ | 54c | 184$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed MOUZ | 41c | 180.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 170$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 169.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 167.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed MOUZ | 53c | 163.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed MOUZ | 54c | 162.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 48c | 160.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Liquid | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 144.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Team Liquid | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 132.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Liquid | 44c | 131.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Team Liquid | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Team Liquid | 51c | 115.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed Team Liquid | 62c | 107.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 64c | 101.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.