Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd149180ee5163f4daef7c949326fad2d0eece4dd9441f5f8a622c27a55e3305c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 49c | 23,019$11,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,745.2 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 54c | 7,282$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.56 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Liquid | 43c | 6,053$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.43 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 4,400$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.38 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed MOUZ | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Liquid | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 46c | 2,817$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.73 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,471$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,436$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 1,159$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.94 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,002$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.96 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 29c | 747.78$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 637.25$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Team Liquid | 39c | 617.05$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 42c | 549.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.26 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed MOUZ | 51c | 489.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.63 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 481.38$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.72 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed MOUZ | 46c | 455.1$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.1 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Liquid | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…e85ebacked Team Liquid | 48c | 300.86$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 76c | 266.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 219.64$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 219.03$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed MOUZ | 53c | 218.28$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.28 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed MOUZ | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 48c | 187.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 59c | 169.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Liquid | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Team Liquid | 50c | 131.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed MOUZ | 56c | 113.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…b35bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 109.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 109.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ | 52c | 91.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…8dc3backed MOUZ | 53c | 75.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 44c | 49.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Liquid | 36c | 48.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 51c | 47.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MOUZ | 43c | 47.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Liquid | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed MOUZ | 44c | 42.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked MOUZ | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked MOUZ | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Team Liquid | 50c | 33.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Liquid | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…70e1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked MOUZ | 76c | 17.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.