Euroleague · resolved market
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0e4edc1c2c5973170b9570acb379f9760b832bbb30ef64b597f27629ff0caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhejiang Lionsof Qingdao Eagles, Zhejiang Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f84…800bbacked Qingdao Eagles | 10c | 6,532$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Zhejiang Lions | 70c | 4,744$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Qingdao Eagles | 1c | 4,713$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Qingdao Eagles | 29c | 2,697$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.43 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…bf18backed Zhejiang Lions | 65c | 1,590$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…0530backed Qingdao Eagles | 35c | 1,588$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Qingdao Eagles | 33c | 1,275$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.73 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Qingdao Eagles | 32c | 1,000$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.56 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 734.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 599.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.15 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Qingdao Eagles | 33c | 401.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 299.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Qingdao Eagles | 10c | 228.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Qingdao Eagles | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fb…f0d5backed Qingdao Eagles | 38c | 156.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 153.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Zhejiang Lions | 66c | 151.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…460bbacked Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 145.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 141.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Zhejiang Lions | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Zhejiang Lions | 79c | 126.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 100.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Zhejiang Lions | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 79.63$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Zhejiang Lions | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Zhejiang Lions | 66c | 75.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…5b1abacked Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Qingdao Eagles | 35c | 74.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Zhejiang Lions | 61c | 72.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…96a6backed Zhejiang Lions | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Qingdao Eagles | 30c | 66.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Qingdao Eagles | 28c | 55.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Zhejiang Lions | 63c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 45.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5657…78aebacked Zhejiang Lions | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Qingdao Eagles | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf80…cdcebacked Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…5753backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…b0f1backed Zhejiang Lions | 67c | 22.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…6858backed Zhejiang Lions | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Zhejiang Lions | 70c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.