NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde2403b9b99ad0e1b43dd38ec1b8caf8ca544009f2d009ed49b45b30bc678db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Golden Knights, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $696,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $714,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 915 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 43c | 40,670$17,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,979.95 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 58c | 22,085$12,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,775.67 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Golden Knights | 43c | 20,134$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.19 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Senators | 43c | 19,000$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,819.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 57c | 17,134$9,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,766.45 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Senators | 44c | 14,098$6,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.6 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Golden Knights | 56c | 10,889$6,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,136.85 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Senators | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.99 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 9,971$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.45 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 45c | 9,613$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.88 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 9,077$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.29 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Senators | 57c | 8,649$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.33 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Golden Knights | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 6,722$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.19 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Golden Knights | 0c | 6,505$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Senators | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Golden Knights | 3c | 6,468$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.23 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Golden Knights | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Senators | 45c | 5,766$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,171.22 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,689$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.88 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d4…84bdbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 4,598$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.2 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Senators | 59c | 4,428$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 56c | 4,419$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.3 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,255$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.54 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 3c | 4,185$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Senators | 45c | 4,174$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.36 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 3,982$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.12 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…4adbbacked Senators | 45c | 3,850$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…22b6backed Golden Knights | 55c | 3,850$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Senators | 42c | 3,733$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 3,673$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 3,666$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.3 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 32c | 3,631$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 1c | 3,455$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 6c | 3,316$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 3,047$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.99 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 36c | 3,031$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 3,000$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights | 56c | 2,559$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.54 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Senators | 43c | 2,541$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.89 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,400$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Golden Knights | 5c | 2,289$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe1…ea1abacked Golden Knights | 55c | 2,248$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Golden Knights | 55c | 2,222$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.1 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Senators | 45c | 2,219$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Golden Knights | 56c | 2,194$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.58 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 2,162$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Golden Knights | 43c | 2,018$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.75 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Golden Knights | 44c | 1,971$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.37 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,900$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.98 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 53c | 1,882$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db5…7094backed Golden Knights | 56c | 1,794$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…8db7backed Senators | 45c | 1,794$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Senators | 70c | 1,667$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 24c | 1,591$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.55 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,559$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.06 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,505$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.35 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf10…c003backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,499$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb55…7f50backed Senators | 43c | 1,499$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cf…e702backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,498$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…8a04backed Senators | 43c | 1,498$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…0ccdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,497$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179a…a790backed Senators | 43c | 1,497$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b3…1ef8backed Senators | 43c | 1,495$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…66e3backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,495$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…f348backed Senators | 43c | 1,494$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa75f…6ad4backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,494$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…73b4backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,494$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…e99dbacked Senators | 43c | 1,494$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.58 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9656…d7eebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,493$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701d…557cbacked Senators | 43c | 1,493$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…a125backed Senators | 43c | 1,492$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…2600backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,492$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…41e0backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.87 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc7…6c2cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…a161backed Senators | 43c | 1,491$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.87 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…207cbacked Senators | 43c | 1,491$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…d77bbacked Senators | 43c | 1,490$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…ae68backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,490$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…ad56backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,489$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -65%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…b634backed Senators | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…0b4cbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,489$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6af9backed Senators | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.73 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dc…de6bbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,489$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…6643backed Senators | 43c | 1,489$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…f842backed Senators | 43c | 1,487$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.59 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…56acbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,487$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d9…e977backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,486$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f6…8819backed Senators | 43c | 1,486$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…8471backed Senators | 43c | 1,486$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…93c1backed Senators | 43c | 1,484$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34f…8187backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,484$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…53b3backed Senators | 43c | 1,482$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…0d25backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,482$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…962abacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,480$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…a3cbbacked Senators | 43c | 1,480$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb57…b29dbacked Senators | 43c | 1,479$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…4139backed Golden Knights | 57c | 1,479$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Senatorsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.