Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96e7dd07a08c8e2e0a85c46910e255f0434c610ae26d915d9f376020886b7520
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Vici Gaming, Team Nemesis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 6,111$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.59 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 2,788$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 1,761$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.13 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 1,450$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,140$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.11 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 801.25$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.47 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 355.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Team Nemesis | 46c | 323.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 55cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 67c | 297.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 211.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 209.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vici Gaming | 42c | 184.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 174.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 170$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 37c | 164.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed0b…3566backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 147.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…07afbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 139.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 116.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Nemesis | 50c | 95.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Team Nemesis | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Vici Gaming | 38c | 89.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c6…72a8backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 84.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 83.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 80.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…40fabacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…3f51backed Team Nemesis | 70c | 77.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Team Nemesis | 44c | 73.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Nemesis | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 67.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 57.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 56.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 54.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 54.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…aec0backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 54.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 54.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 47.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a9…c0a7backed Team Nemesis | 52c | 45.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 45.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Team Nemesis | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 29.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…a7a3backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Team Nemesis | 71c | 25.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…4542backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 24.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 22.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…bd0cbacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf3…7513backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…88d8backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - PGL Wallachia: Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.