La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f32a7a477cd2cebdc1a54844267173b03e2d0d6258f8063b1764b41c75e4dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 1,066$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 511.95$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 443.69$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.95 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 376.91$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…fababacked Yes | 23c | 234.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 20c | 230.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 26c | 127.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 126.92$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Yes | 29c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.34per pick | 61cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked No | 71c | 101$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 77c | 85.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Yes | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa375…0374backed Yes | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 45.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…5500backed No | 71c | 32.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked No | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked No | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked No | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed No | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-01-26?Yes won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.