La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc3d99b2f40676b3ca198bc48a4c8e7136525297d8f1901f732858043add1a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 50c | 1,226$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.73 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 1,055$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 478.93$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 24c | 254.04$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 26c | 216.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 162.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 161.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 146.15$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 73c | 130$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 21c | 107.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 24c | 82.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 27c | 71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 69.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…05c8backed No | 63c | 54.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 51.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 62c | 37.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +73%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72df…42f6backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…0b39backed No | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-01-26?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa end in a draw?No won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-01-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.