TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Chicago White Sox, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$379,900
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,900 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics51c24,102$12,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,916.661,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox41c23,527$9,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,64698149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Athletics43c21,495$9,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,316.5612754.3%69 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics56c20,813$11,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,126.9910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox41c13,682$5,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,609.531,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6232…7078backed Chicago White Sox38c10,309$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Athletics57c10,096$5,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,332.531,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Chicago White Sox8c9,588$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.6915840.5%64 W · 94 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox49c6,026$2,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.012,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox62c5,018$3,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,116.372,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox47c4,922$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,307.078,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Athletics60c4,886$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,957.6337953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics20c4,760$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80836047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Athletics64c4,563$2,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.443554%235 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chicago White Sox76c4,270$3,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,233.831,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Athletics58c4,072$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.7565050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics59c3,779$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.265,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago White Sox41c3,755$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.561,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox28c3,601$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.881,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics59c3,217$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.921,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Chicago White Sox41c3,044$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.1513254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago White Sox41c2,823$1,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.5219250%96 W · 96 L+12.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Athletics59c2,787$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.656749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox43c2,766$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.7212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Athletics59c2,438$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.553145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e5…00a8backed Chicago White Sox69c2,418$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Athletics59c2,209$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.843,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Athletics59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82033852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics59c1,992$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.896,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox48c1,966$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.029,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a46…2294backed Athletics60c1,952$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.81070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Athletics55c1,938$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.2118241.2%75 W · 107 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Athletics40c1,909$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.931,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Athletics59c1,884$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2527351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox41c1,881$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Chicago White Sox22c1,752$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.111637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Athletics56c1,539$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics67c1,447$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.141,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Chicago White Sox78c1,400$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09822851.3%117 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Chicago White Sox70c1,398$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.1525066.4%166 W · 84 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Chicago White Sox55c1,348$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.241,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Chicago White Sox14c1,299$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.481,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Athletics67c1,212$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.8380159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Athletics26c1,212$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.146,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago White Sox40c1,100$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox67c1,029$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.455541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics25c1,018$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.991,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Chicago White Sox40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc309…513dbacked Chicago White Sox40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics51c988.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.935,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Athletics50c947.07$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.2955464.1%355 W · 199 L+63.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Chicago White Sox41c941.07$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8432350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Athletics34c899.89$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.3160941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb436…c372backed Chicago White Sox25c891.81$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Athletics50c858.65$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.934,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Athletics66c851.3$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8385235.8%305 W · 547 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Chicago White Sox44c835.31$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.7152638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95c…7913backed Athletics65c804.29$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Chicago White Sox52c787.69$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3348850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Chicago White Sox78c782.67$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.48785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeda…8befbacked Chicago White Sox9c770.5$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.352240.9%9 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick25cpaid+89.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics41c765.74$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.891,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Athletics59c740$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.591,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Athletics54c733.82$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.9754048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Athletics61c732.84$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7546239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Chicago White Sox41c672.33$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.6546749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics40c657.62$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.131,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Athletics67c601.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2536649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae51…0d08backed Athletics19c600.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.7636440.1%146 W · 218 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Athletics65c598.08$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.3681257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Athletics46c594.91$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32014535.9%52 W · 93 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox39c590$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.91,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Athletics60c585.6$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.244057.5%23 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Chicago White Sox30c578.79$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.645756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago White Sox74c575.25$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1825240.1%101 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Athletics34c564.94$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.8622831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Athletics60c553.62$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.562,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Athletics26c551.31$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9794034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago White Sox41c547.89$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6450751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox18c546.47$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.361,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox50c535.16$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.911,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Athletics27c531.78$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.2315740.1%63 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Chicago White Sox41c475.67$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9772648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago White Sox32c474.78$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.661,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Chicago White Sox41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9220350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Chicago White Sox41c458.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8618553%98 W · 87 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Athletics46c454.14$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0251555%283 W · 232 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Chicago White Sox62c449.18$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.558530.6%26 W · 59 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Athletics59c444.97$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4418553.5%99 W · 86 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Chicago White Sox24c435.66$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.464647.8%22 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Chicago White Sox41c415.87$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2242241%173 W · 249 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Chicago White Sox41c400.31$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1326255.7%146 W · 116 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Chicago White Sox37c393.81$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4514034.3%48 W · 92 L-13.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Athletics24c393.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.211942.9%51 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Chicago White Sox41c385.84$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1959150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics58c383.2$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.941,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Athletics52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.32646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Athletics34c371.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4250860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x389d…a58fbacked Athletics66c362.73$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.331947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.